Download Reliability Issues for DOD Systems by National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social PDF

By National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Committee on National Statistics, Michael Cohen, Francisco Samaniego

The ultimate file of the nationwide learn Council's (NRC) Panel on Statistical tools for checking out and comparing safeguard structures (National learn Council, 1998) was once meant to supply extensive recommendation to the U.S. division of safeguard (DoD) on present statistical equipment and ideas that may be utilized to the developmental and operational trying out and review of protection structures. therefore, the file contained chapters at the use of trying out as a device of process improvement; present equipment of experimental layout; evaluate tools; equipment for trying out and assessing reliability, availability, and maintainability; software program improvement and trying out; and validation of modeling and simulation to be used in operational try and overview. whereas the exam of any such good selection of subject matters was once necessary in supporting DoD comprehend the breadth of difficulties for which statistical equipment might be utilized and supplying path as to how the equipment at the moment used may be better, there has been, really evidently, a scarcity of element in each one area.

To handle the necessity for additional aspect, DoD agencies-the place of work of the Director of Operational try and assessment and the place of work of the less than Secretary of security for Acquisition, expertise, and Logistics-asked the NRC's Committee on nationwide records to start up a chain of workshops on statistical matters appropriate to security acquisition. the purpose of every workshop is to notify DoD in regards to the equipment that signify the statistical state-of-the-art and, via interactions of the statistical and safety groups, discover their relevance for DoD application.

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Example text

He displayed a simulated dataset that appeared to be reasonably well fit by all four of the aforementioned parametric models on the basis of sample sizes of 20, but were clearly poorly fit by these models when sample sizes of 100 were available. Generally speaking, the use of goodness-of-fit tests to test for a specific parametric form should be preceded by use of graphical and other exploratory tools, and consideration of applicable physical principles, to help identify reasonable parametric distributional models.

The expectation is that over time, estimates for some measures for some types of systems will be found to benefit greatly from use of these models, whereas for other systems, these models will be much less useful. Chapter 3 provides a description of some specific methods that were suggested for use at the workshop. 3 Current Research in Reliability Modeling and Inference F our of the seven sessions at the workshop addressed reliabilityrelated areas (other than reliability growth) in which recent advances and ongoing research could especially benefit the DoD test and evaluation community in its current activities and applications.

Combining of information is therefore an important opportunity, but one that must be explored with caution. One session of the workshop focused specifically on the use of models for combining information from developmental and operational tests when the failure modes in these separate environments of use are well understood (or otherwise approximately satisfy the necessary assumptions). It was argued that in those instances, use of the proposed models can provide improved estimates and thereby support better decision making.

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