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By Hettler N

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Sample text

Although reliable attitudinal survey data are unavailable, the Revolution has surely become a disillusioning experience for millions of Cubans. Especially under the Special Period that began in _____________ 12 Raúl turned 72 years of age in June 2003; Fidel became 77 the following August. However, Raúl is not in the best of health. Were he to leave the scene before Fidel, his passing would greatly upset succession dynamics and calculations while also removing a constraining, pragmatic influence on Fidel.

They considered the action by Castro and other hard-liners a major strategic mistake that left Cuba isolated and in danger of an attack from the United States. S. troops would be welcomed as liberators in Cuba as they were in Iraq. Castro’s Political Legacies: Caudilloism and Totalitarianism 21 elite cohesion, the chances are slim that the new regime can embark upon a new economic course. The leadership void could be filled institutionally, but Castro’s personalistic style of governance has been such that there has always existed a tension between caudilloism and institutionalization.

Indeed, the government that follows Castro will face daunting political, social, and economic challenges, including some that are of a structural nature that will require fundamental systemic changes if they are to be resolved. However, Cuba’s future government, whether communist or non-communist, is certain to be constrained by the legacy of its past in trying to cope with the challenges ahead. A large part of this constraint is due to the comandante’s more than four dec- 3 4 Cuba After Castro: Legacies, Challenges, and Impediments ades of caudillo-like and totalitarian/post-totalitarian rule.

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